[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m9dqbEJalmQ[/embedyt] Global Dynamics: Global risk asset markets continue to move wildly and trend lower as investors wrestle with the speed at which global Central Banks are raising interest rates and more importantly with the speed at which our Federal Reserve is shocking markets with its multiple 75 basis point rate increases as economic growth…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dgHcRMHBYz8[/embedyt] Sharp Movements: Stock markets moved sharply higher into mid-August, hoping for a shift towards an easier Fed in the fourth quarter and in 2023. Real interest rates were falling into Chairmen Powell’s speech in late August. Jerome Powell’s 8-minute speech at Jackson Hole on Friday, August 26th, threw cold water on that. The…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TLJTPkMaQUI[/embedyt] Fighting Inflation: Stock markets moved sharply higher into mid-August on hope for a shift toward an easier Fed in the 4th quarter and in 2023. Real interest rates were falling into Chairmen Powell’s speech in late August, having peaked on June 15th. The markets had interpreted Powell’s July comments to signal the possibility…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YQ6q3FGBBKs[/embedyt]   A Volatile Year… 2022 has been a mess across virtually every asset class globally. Except for a few industries like domestic utilities, and a few energy related commodities like natural gas or lithium, asset class returns have been negative year to date and highly volatile at the same time. Music to the…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eqfydUmZIjU[/embedyt] In the second half of July, stock markets moved sharply higher into mid-August on the hope for a shift towards an easier Fed in 2023. Real interest rates were falling then, having peaked on June 15. The markets had interpreted Powell’s July comments to signal the possibility of a downshift in the pace…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fgZPMM4LEGs[/embedyt] Ok, I’m getting old. How do I know that? 1. I catch myself watching the weather channel way too much and 2. during certain times in the market, I think back and remember iconic TV commercials from earlier times in my career. One of my all-time favorite commercials was this one released by…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90__qaTbZCg[/embedyt]   This week, we don’t have a Stock Talk Podcast, but instead, ask you to watch our August 19, recorded live Market Outlook Broadcast, as it offers in depth information relevant to your portfolio. – Chris Perras ALL CHARTS ARE SOURCED FROM BLOOMBERG: 18:24, 26:49, 41:45  

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rVNWhyd02OA[/embedyt] The first half of 2022 is behind us. It was abysmal in the markets. We suffered the first true correction since the Covid crash in the first quarter of 2020. However, we also extended that downward to the first -20% bear market drawdown in years. But the question is now? What’s in store…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VPn8B7DgZxM[/embedyt] First things first. We have had a big, big rally in stocks over the last six weeks. We thought this was likely back in late June and early July. We published our thoughts with our July 1st video, “Opportunity Knocks early.” However, from here, the indicators we watch say we should expect a…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7p7NU3oMhQw[/embedyt] Are the stock market lows in for the year? Or is this another “bear market” rally? Is this year’s correction and “bear market” decline behind us and in the rear-view mirror for good? Was June 16th and 17th the low for the stock markets for 2022? Those are the questions on almost everyone’s…