Stock Talks

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=txzZNk2czI8[/embedyt] Post the strong first half move in the overall stock market into mid-July, the overall markets have been trading, down in a very normal seasonal fashion just as our investment team laid out back in late June in our Oak Harvest video S&P500 4300+, “it’s summertime for a break”. Here’s a chart of…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WOe0VRUnxVc[/embedyt] Post the strong first half move in the overall stock market into mid-July, the overall markets have been trading sideways to down just as our investment team laid out back in late June in our Oak Harvest video S&P500 4300+, “it’s summertime for a break”. We’ve followed it up almost weekly with additional…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oo-5aAupd-g[/embedyt] Post the strong first half move in the overall stock market, we have been trading sideways.  The S&P 500 has gone net? Nowhere in a sloppy and choppy manner since Wednesday July 19th, which for trading nerds was the day volatility options and futures expired for July. As this was written the SP500…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xJ5zWt60cnE[/embedyt]   We’re taking a short break from our regular Stock Talk Content to share a clip from an upcoming webinar that will be available to stream soon – Join Chris Perras and Charles Scavone as they discuss why you’ll need Active Fund Management for your retirement in future years as markets trend towards…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rWVnVo65Id0[/embedyt] We’re skipping this week of Stock Talk due to our team being busy at work with the switch from TD Ameritrade to Schwab. Check out this quick message from Chris as he shares a training he recently did with Troy Sharpe and Charles Scavone on Interest Rates and how they could potentially affect…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IlM23x6k3Xw[/embedyt] It’s 106-110 degrees in Houston as I write this week’s episode which will be posted at the beginning of the long Labor Day weekend.  Clearly, summer in the Southwest is far from over, in fact it usually doesn’t cool off for good here in Houston until after Halloween, so why would I ever…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=047-NOJyRds[/embedyt] Summer seasonality in the US stock market is historically a real “thing”.  We’ve discussed it many times in the last 5 years.  We started previewing summer seasonality for 2023 as far back as 3q22, when we were discussing the upcoming likely strength in the markets for 4q22-1h23 due to the 3rd year election…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ll5JwjLrtzo[/embedyt] Summer seasonality in the US stock market is historically a real “thing”.  The data confirms it.  With that, it should come as no surprise to invesors that the stock markets have consolidated and sold off since July 19-20th, which was the week of July option expiration 4 weeks ago. The title of this…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ncBeDb168tA[/embedyt]   Over the last 5 years, our OHFG investment team has discussed stock market cycles and seasonality on multiple occasions.  Why? Because much of public market investing is repeated human behavior.  It is a real-world lesson in behavioral finance as humans, in mass, tend to be creatures of habit repeating behaviors time and…

[embedyt] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RJV90F19C7c[/embedyt] Fear sells.  It creates emotion and keeps TV viewers from changing channels.  It keeps digital social media consumers from clicking away to other social networks.  It keeps many investment “newsletter” writers in business selling $99/year subscriptions. And it keeps many retail investors frozen in their tracks, out of the markets, or selling stocks…